Statecraft

§Series III · Nº 07 · Synthesis

Synthesis

How five form-patterns and the meta-pattern together form a single cognitive apparatus, and what room for action then remains

2 May 2026 · by Jacob Huibers · Lees in het Nederlands → · NL-EN glossary →

§ 01 · A Wednesday evening

On a Wednesday evening in March 2026, the alderman1 of a medium-sized municipality, somewhere between fifty and a hundred thousand inhabitants, stands in the gymnasium of a community centre. Fifty-two people sit in front of him on folding chairs. The subject of the evening is the layout of the neighbourhood park that, in the new-build district on the western side of the municipality, is to become the green carrier of the urban-design plan. The alderman speaks from a stand-up table with a microphone. Beside him stands the senior policy officer for public space. Behind them, four renderings on the screen show what the park will look like once finished: a large pond, a children’s play area, a four-hundred-metre running track, a community garden with pick-your-own borders. The park, says the alderman, should become a place where our residents meet one another. That is why we want to discuss your wishes with you tonight.

The sentence is, in its own way, sincere. The alderman believes in the evening. He has gone through the presentation himself. Earlier that week he explained to the municipal secretary why he chose a physical meeting over a digital survey. People are more than a tick on a form, ran his argument. The policy officer beside him has prepared the evening jointly with a participation consultancy that runs comparable processes in four other municipalities in the region. The renderings have been produced by an urban-design bureau that also drafted the local zoning plan, on commission from the municipality, in collaboration with the developer.

One of the fifty-two attendees is a woman from the existing neighbourhood across the river. She left work earlier than usual for the occasion. During the break she studies the site plan on the wall. On that plan she sees that the spot where she would have argued for a small playground for young children is in fact already drawn in as the running track. She sees that the position of the main entrance has been fixed, that the shape of the pond has been set, that the tree species have been chosen, that the operating agreement with a nature-development partner has already been discussed in the executive board, and that the community garden will be funded from a separate provincial subsidy scheme whose application is already underway. What remains for her input is the choice between three kinds of climbing frames, the name of the park, the position of two benches and the composition of the pick-your-own borders. We have discussed this, the policy officer tells her when she raises the question, but the main shape is fixed in order to secure the subsidy. You understand that, of course.

Nobody has lied here. The alderman believes that the evening matters. The policy officer believes she is doing good work. The participation consultancy delivers what it delivers in four other municipalities. The urban-design bureau has, within the parameters given to it, produced a design it is proud of. The province awards the subsidy on the basis of a scheme that another consultancy advised on. The zoning plan was adopted by the municipal council after an earlier round of participation, the principal grievance from which was that too little had been listened to. The neighbourhood-park evening has been organised to address that very grievance. All act in good faith. All follow the procedures. None deviates. And yet, on the wall next to the site plan, at the moment when the woman from the existing neighbourhood picks up her bag to leave, there arises an observation that none of the other actors in this chain can articulate without disturbing the rhythm of his own work.

What she sees is what this paper as a whole names. Not one pattern, but six patterns together. The running track, drawn in advance, is the congealed outcome that is presented back as a manifested preference. The word park is the word continuity in which the affordances of the older neighbourhood park — the play area where successive generations got to know one another, a hammock on a summer evening, maintenance carried by neighbours — have been replaced by a designed object whose operational logic is different. The optimisation on subsidy criteria has expelled from the design those variables the residents in fact look for: places to sit without purpose, room for chance, maintenance that can be borne by neighbours. The design chain — participation consultancy, urban-design bureau, subsidy adviser, project developer — is the same chain that helped produce the friction on which the present evening must form an administrative answer. The participation evening is the outward features of citizen influence within a procedure whose outcome has been disconnected from its substance. And above all of this, the alderman speaks the sentences sincerely, believes in them, and is the most powerful mechanism by which the pattern sustains itself without any of those present being able to name it.

The woman says nothing. She walks out and cycles back across the river. A week later the report of the evening is published on the municipal website, with the assurance that the input of those present will be taken on board in the final design. Three months later the park is delivered as it stood on the renderings. At the opening, on a Friday afternoon in summer, that same alderman says that the park has become a place where the neighbourhood comes together. He means it. He has no reason to think otherwise. The woman is at work that afternoon and cannot come.

§ 02 · The six patterns on one page

Series III has, in six papers, worked out five form-patterns plus one meta-pattern of cognitive distortion. Each pattern stands on its own and has its own material anchor. In the opening scene of this synthesis, all six are simultaneously present. For the reader who has read the six papers in sequence, this is recognition. For the reader using the synthesis as a point of entry, what follows is the briefest summary possible without sacrificing precision.

The sincere voice — the meta-pattern from Nº 01 — describes how the carrier of the other five patterns does his work neither out of bad faith, nor out of naïveté, nor as a captive of interest. He does it from a habitus that has grown over years in his professional field, from a doxa that has become self-evident in that field, and from a socio-economic enclave in which the counter-experience that might tilt his language is not on offer.¹ Bourdieu’s misrecognition is the mechanism by which structural compulsion is perceived as rational preference. Truth helps against a lie; truth does not help against misrecognition, because the speaker means to be telling the truth. What does help is material friction that the doxa cannot accommodate.

The congealed outcome as manifested preference — Pattern 1 from Nº 02 — describes how a supply decision returns in administrative discourse as a consumer choice. The alderman who justifies his apartment programme by pointing to the waiting list reads the residue of an earlier design choice as confirmation of his design. Revealed preference here parasitises a methodological foundation that, in most Dutch policy sectors, does not meet its conditions. The supposed demand is the output of an earlier supply decision.

The word continuity that masks the material rupture — Pattern 2 from Nº 03 — describes how words remain in use while the thing to which they refer changes, sometimes into its opposite. Home, organic, community, sustainable, flexible, participation: in each of these words the cultural memory of the older content carries the political work that the present content can no longer bear. Klemperer noted in 1947 that the most dangerous words are those that are gradually impressed and that do their work unobserved.²

The optimisation asymmetry — Pattern 3 from Nº 04 — describes how a single measurable variable in a multi-dimensional system is tied to reward or sanction, and how the other variables, constitutive of the primary work but not measurable, are subsequently expelled from the system as waste. Goodhart’s law of 1975 is the canonical formulation: as soon as a statistical regularity is placed under pressure for purposes of control, it tends to collapse.³ The Drenthe net-zero-energy dwelling in which the meter reads zero and the resident sits on the sofa with a second blanket is the material object on which this pattern is legible.

The problem-causer as solution-provider — Pattern 4 from Nº 05 — describes how, in a chain, the party that helps to produce the problem sits in the same chain that supplies the solution. McKinsey advises in 2009 on the information chain of the Belastingdienst2 and in 2022 on the same dossier; the circle closes on the steps of the ministry. Mariana Mazzucato and Rosie Collington called this the big con in 2023: a therapist who keeps a client in therapy for ever is not a good therapist, but when an entire industry is built on that principle, it appears as professional service.⁴

Form-laundering — Pattern 5 from Nº 06 — describes how institutions retain the outward features of functions they can no longer deliver. The participation evening retains the outward features of citizen influence. The evaluation retains the outward features of learning. The cultural-change workshop retains the outward features of transformation. None of these forms is a lie, none of them is performed cynically, and that is precisely why they are recalcitrant.

What the six papers individually deliver, the synthesis does not deliver again. What the synthesis does deliver is the recognition that, in Dutch implementation practice, these six patterns rarely operate in isolation. They stack.

§ 03 · How they stack

The stacking is not a sum. Each pattern reinforces the others in a specific way, and the combinatorial logic is so robust that an intervention on one pattern, without awareness of the other five, is generally absorbed by the remaining patterns and turned into its opposite.

The congealed outcome of Pattern 1 only becomes credible once it is presented back in the words of Pattern 2. People want to live in apartments is a rhetorical sentence that works only in a field where the word home still carries its old affordances and where speaker and listener share a vocabulary that need not name the actual shift. Were the word to disappear from the discourse, or were it replaced by a term that named the actual delivery structure — stacked building volume held in private ownership by an institutional investor — the congealed outcome could no longer present itself as preference. Pattern 1 thus leans on Pattern 2.

Patterns 1 and 2 only become operational together once Pattern 3 supplies a measure that pushes the other variables out of view. The optimisation on usable floor area per plot makes the dwellings that generate the waiting lists into the logical outcome of the design choice. The optimisation on pick-rate per Picnic3 delivery run turns the corner shop into commercial history. The optimisation on billable time in the consulting room turns attention into a by-product. In each of these cases, the measure is the instrument by which the congealed outcome can present itself as the rational outcome of a sound process. When only the measure is visible, and when what cannot be measured is kept out of the operational description, the outcome cannot but appear correct.

Pattern 4 closes the circle on a second ring. The chain that commercially exploits the friction supplies the advice in which the optimisation is proposed, the instrument with which it is implemented, and the evaluation that confirms its success. McKinsey, Berenschot, AEF, KPMG, Deloitte and EY operate within Dutch implementation organisations as three functions in one bureau. What in a properly working governance system is termed politics, execution and oversight collapses here into a single contractor. What this does to the organisational learning of the commissioning organisation is to evaporate it outwards. What it does to Patterns 1, 2 and 3 is to insure them institutionally: the chain that produces the congealed outcome simultaneously delivers the words in which it is presented back, the measure on which it is optimised, and the advice under which the cycle is renewed.

Pattern 5 supplies the surface on which the entire constellation remains out of sight. The participation evening, the evaluation, the cultural-change workshop, the certification, the framework letter of the joint arrangement,4 the Strategic Evaluation Agenda of central government: in each of these forms the outward features of a function are sustained without the underlying structure being able to deliver it. What they produce is comfort, in Power’s formulation: audit produces comfort, not certainty.⁵ What they do not produce is the recognition that the other four patterns continue to operate beneath the forms. Pattern 5 is therefore the pattern that covers the other four, and which supplies the sincere speaker with the material in which to clothe his work without his having to feel the tension between what he says and what he does.

Above all this, the meta-pattern is at work. The sincere voice is not a sixth recognition instrument; it is the question of which side of the table the speaker is on before he handles an instrument. An instrument in the hands of a pattern-carrier becomes doxa once again. The same instrument in the hands of a pattern-aware speaker becomes friction. The six patterns together form a cognitive apparatus. The apparatus has a double logic: on the outside, it produces decisions that, taken in themselves, look rationally defensible; on the inside, it keeps the speaker so close to his own vocabulary that he cannot feel the tension between design and outcome. Whoever studies the apparatus from outside sees six patterns. Whoever works inside it sees four KPIs, three procedures, two deadlines and a delivery moment. The difference between those two perceptions is what this synthesis attempts to bridge.

In Dutch implementation dossiers of the past fifteen years, four combinations recur. The Picnic dossier runs through Pattern 1 (the congealed outcome, in the rhetoric that consumers want convenience), Pattern 3 (optimisation on pick-rate that cuts away the neighbourhood function) and Pattern 4 (the logistics industry that helped marginalise the corner shop and now delivers the home-delivery solution). The ABD5 rotation dossier runs through the meta-pattern (the sincere senior official who carries the doxa of mobility as virtue), Pattern 3 (mobility as the only optimised variable) and Pattern 4 (the interim and consultancy chain that fills the knowledge gap the rotation regime produces). The youth-care dossier runs through Pattern 3 (cost price per trajectory as sole measure), Pattern 4 (private-equity acquisitions as solution to the fragmentation produced by the Open House arrangement) and Pattern 5 (the inspection and quality forms that retain the outward features of care). Housing decarbonisation runs through all six, and is precisely for that reason the first case this synthesis works out. Picnic and the ABD rotation are not worked out here as separate cases, because they have already been treated in full in Nº 02 and Nº 04 respectively; in this synthesis they serve as combinatorial anchors rather than fresh analysis. The three cases that are worked out are housing decarbonisation, the youth-care decentralisation and the Belastingdienst transformation.

§ 04 · First case: the housing-decarbonisation architecture

The Climate Agreement of 28 June 2019 set a national target of forty-nine per cent CO₂ reduction in 2030 relative to 1990, with for the built environment a specific sectoral task of 3.4 Mton CO₂ reduction in 2030, and the ambition to bring emissions to virtually zero by 2050. The Rutte IV Coalition Agreement of December 2021 raised the national target to fifty-five per cent, in line with the European Commission.⁶ The instruments to achieve this were built up in the years that followed from a combination of subsidies, standards, obligations and transition structures. ISDE6, BENG7, the National Heat Fund, the district approach, the Regional Energy Strategies, the natural-gas-free pilot districts, the Subsidy Scheme for Sustainable Renovation by Landlords, the SCE for cooperatives, the SDE++, the net-metering scheme. On paper, a coherent regime. In practice, an infrastructure in which nearly all six patterns of Series III become legible at once.

The congealed outcome is visible in the distribution. TNO and CBS8 reported that the number of energy-poor households in the Netherlands rose from three hundred and ninety-six thousand in 2023 to five hundred and ten thousand in 2024 — an increase of nearly one hundred and fifteen thousand in a single year, mainly due to the lapse of the energy-allowance compensation.⁷ Energy-poor households spent on average eight and a half per cent of their income on energy costs in 2023; an average household, five point two per cent. At the same time the ISDE subsidy flows disproportionately to the highest two income deciles. Of the one hundred and twenty-nine thousand residential heat pumps installed in 2025, ninety thousand were supported with ISDE subsidy.⁸ Minister Hugo de Jonge announced on 26 February 2024 an increase in the use of the National Heat Fund by low and middle incomes, and formulated this with the sentence: *Previously it was mainly homeowners with higher incomes who made use of the National Heat Fund.*⁹ The passive construction made use of reads a supply structure, a tenant-owner asymmetry, a financing accessibility and a sludge architecture as a pattern of choice. The administrative claim is that an active homeowner chooses. The material reality is that only those who can pre-finance can choose.

The word continuity sits in sustainable. The word, in its modern political usage, dates from the 1987 Brundtland report and bound itself to generational justice and to ecological limits. In the Dutch implementation practice of the SDE+ and SDE++, the word acquired an operational secondary meaning: it qualified woody biomass as a renewable energy source. PBL9 published in 2020 the report Availability and Application Possibilities of Sustainable Biomass and concluded that woody biomass does not, a priori, contribute to climate goals, given the carbon debt and the long payback period.¹⁰ Vattenfall pulled the plug on the Diemen project itself on 16 October 2024, after the original permit had been annulled by the Council of State at the end of August 2023.¹¹ The word sustainable was not removed from the communications during this episode; only the project on which it had been pasted was. The claim moved on to district heating networks, to residual heat, to geothermal energy, and the word remained available for whatever was to be slid in beneath it. Whoever says sustainable about a biomass plant carries with that word the associations of solar energy, ecosystem preservation and intergenerational justice, while the chimney emits more CO₂ than its gas-fired equivalent.

The optimisation asymmetry sits in the measure. The BENG standard, introduced on 1 January 2021 and revised in 2024, measures the energy demand, the primary fossil energy use and the share of renewable energy of a new-build dwelling. What it does not measure is indoor-air quality, comfortable temperature range, noise from mechanical ventilation, repairability of the installations and resident satisfaction. In a Drenthe village stands a row of net-zero-energy dwellings where the meter reads zero and where, in the kitchen, someone wraps a second blanket around herself.¹² The mechanical ventilation system is audible into the bedroom, mould flourishes along the bathroom ceiling, condensation runs down the kitchen wall. The handover certificate is green. What does not appear in the measure appears with great precision in the resident’s experience. It sounded wonderful, said one resident in a regional newspaper article, *but had I known what was in store for me, I would not have done it.*¹³

The chain organisation of Pattern 4 sits in the structure of the market. The Dutch energy market was liberalised in two stages, with the Electricity Act 1998 and the Gas Act 2000.¹⁴ Nuon was sold to Vattenfall in 2009, Essent to RWE in the same year, Eneco to a consortium of Mitsubishi and Chubu Electric in 2020. Dutch control over the energy supply has, in two decades, been largely privatised and internationalised. When prices rise, the government cannot intervene directly on tariffs but must compensate via the energy allowance. At the same time, the former energy suppliers have become active as installers and providers of heat pumps and solar panels. The party that was privatised in 2008 receives, in 2026, public funds to adapt the dwelling to a transition that the old market order could not bear. The ISDE subsidy formally goes to the homeowner, materially to the installers and the heat-pump manufacturers, and the subsidy scheme itself is advised by the same consultancies that helped design the privatisation wave in earlier years.

The form-laundering shows itself in the regional tables and the round-table conferences. The Regional Energy Strategies are a participatory architecture in which municipalities, provinces, water boards, grid operators, businesses and residents jointly shape the regional task across thirty regions. The district approach with the natural-gas-free pilot districts works through participation evenings, climate tables and citizens’ assemblies. What they produce is generally a supported plan that bears the outward features of regional ownership; what they cannot produce is a change in the financing structure that would break the congealed outcome of Pattern 1. The form carries the story; the structure does not. In force, but underused, the Omgevingswet10 Evaluation Committee wrote in January 2025 about an adjacent dossier; the formulation fits the Regional Energy Strategies with the same precision.¹⁵

Above all this, the sincere voice speaks. The TNO researcher who drafts the case for an income ceiling on the ISDE believes in his work. The civil servant at Climate and Green Growth who manages the subsidy scheme does her work according to the rules. The alderman who leads the district approach in his municipality is of good will. The installer who fits the heat pump delivers a product. The energy supplier who guides the subsidy application performs a service. None of them is in a position, from their own place, to name the stacking of the six patterns. Whoever wished to do so would put his next contract at risk. The stacking of the patterns is therefore not a moral failing of the individual actors; it is structure. And the structure reproduces itself, because each of its components, examined separately, is reasonable.

§ 05 · Second case: the youth-care chain

On 1 January 2015, the Youth Care Act came into force. Responsibility for youth care passed from central government and the provinces to the municipalities, with a budget that was tightened in the first years and an implementation architecture in which municipalities could choose their own procurement form. A substantial proportion of municipalities opted for the Open House arrangement: the municipal authority sets the conditions, a tariff and a quality framework; any care provider that meets the conditions may contract under those terms. The arrangement is attractive because it suggests freedom of choice for the client and because it bypasses the European tendering obligation. It is fragile because it contains no incentive to limit the number of providers or to select for quality. In ten years, the number of youth-care providers has risen by more than seven thousand according to Chamber of Commerce figures.¹⁶

The congealed outcome is found in the rhetoric of demand-driven. The decentralisation was administratively justified with the claim that care would come closer to the client, that the municipality would better know what a family needed, and that the system would deliver more bespoke provision. The actual outcome is that a child in need waits on average forty-four weeks for help, that eighty-one per cent of monitored cases experienced a waiting period, and that fifty-six per cent of children placed out of the home ended up in a less suitable placement than had been indicated.¹⁷ What in administrative speech is called demand-driven yields, in operational reality, a supply that has been fragmented by the procurement system and made inaccessible by the waiting times. The waiting list, which in an ordinary market analysis is read as proof of demand, is in this dossier the residue of a design choice that leaves no alternative.

The word continuity sits in care. The word transports the cultural memory of a relational practice — a helper who knows the child, a relationship of trust built up over years, a continuity which has long stood, in the helping-professions literature, as one of the strongest predictors of treatment outcome. The actual delivery is something else. Stichting Het Vergeten Kind documented in 2021 that children in residential group arrangements had on average sixty-four point six helpers in their lives, that nearly three-quarters considered the number too high, and that in a quarter of that group the situation deteriorated as a result of the changes.¹⁸ The Netherlands Youth Institute states that three out of five children with multiple problems change helpers against their will. The word care on the assessment decision remains in place. What the word historically transported has been expelled from operational reality.

The optimisation asymmetry sits in the procurement cycle. What the Open House arrangement optimises is the formal lawfulness of the procurement process, the avoidance of the European tendering obligation, the theoretical freedom of choice for the client, and the cost control per trajectory in the design phase. What it expels is the continuity of the helper. The procurement officer who tenders on cost price knows rationally that continuity in care matters, but has in his own measuring instrument no variable by which to weigh that continuity. The provider who optimises on tariff volume expels continuity for the same reason. The child who must undergo the change carries the expelled variable into his own developmental history. The CPB11 established in 2021 that under light selection (Open House) a municipality contracted twenty-four ambulatory providers per thousand children, against three under strict selection; the CPB added that an effect on care volume between the two systems could not be demonstrated.¹⁹ Fragmentation brought no demonstrable advantage in volume or accessibility, but did bring an explosion of administrative burden and of vulnerability in the system.

The chain organisation of Pattern 4 sits in the private-equity acquisitions. Mentaal Beter was acquired in 2013 by NPM Capital from Interhealth, and sold in 2021 to the French Apax Partners for around one hundred and ninety million euros. Apax financed the acquisition with around one hundred million euros of debt that was subsequently placed on the care provider, at a rate of around eight per cent at a time when the average market rate was two point nine per cent.²⁰ Therapists were required to make ninety-five per cent billable hours, against a sector average of around seventy per cent. Pluryn reported a loss of fifteen point six million euros over 2018. Private-equity-financed providers represented around five per cent of youth-care revenues in 2022, a tripling from two per cent in 2021. EY reported in December 2023, on commission from the Ministry of Health, no significant differences in quality, accessibility or affordability between PE-financed and other care providers.²¹ But the structural argument — that private capital in care leans on a market order made possible by earlier policy, and that when something goes wrong the taxpayer carries the costs — remains tenable. At the same time, the municipalities that designed the Open House arrangement were advised by Berenschot, AEF, BMC, Significant and KPMG, the same consultancies now involved in the transformation agendas that are to remedy the consequences of that design. The circle closes on another ring of the same wheel.

The form-laundering sits in the inspection and quality forms. HKZ, ISO 9001, IGJ, NZa12 and municipal procurement requirements stack upon one another into a time burden that reduces care itself. Berenschot has measured annually since 2016 that care professionals in long-term care spend some thirty-four per cent of their working time on administrative tasks, while they consider twenty-three per cent acceptable.²² The Integrated Care Agreement of 2022 set the target of bringing administrative burden down from forty per cent to twenty per cent by 2030. The ritual of verification produces an administrative reality; care itself becomes pinched beneath it. The form delivers what it claims to deliver. The function that the label speaks of slips, behind the form, out of sight.

Above all this, the sincere voice speaks. The alderman for Youth who defends the procurement cycle believes in her work. The municipal officer who organises the tender does his work according to the law. The youth-care helper who fills in yet another form does what her line manager asks. The IGJ inspector who assesses the institution judges by the criteria she has. Hugo de Jonge formulated, as minister in 2018, the self-criticism more sharply than most of his successors: Open House can lead to enormous fragmentation of supply, and within this arrangement the municipality does not take the reins, but places them entirely in the hands of individual claimants and providers.²³ The same minister later endorsed the Youth Reform Agenda, with as instruments an Order in Council on Real Prices that came into force on 1 July 2024 and an expert committee under Tamara van Ark. Whether those instruments break the pattern cannot be established at the time of writing, and that has to be stated explicitly here.

§ 06 · Third case: the Belastingdienst transformation chain

On 25 June 2009, McKinsey delivered a memorandum to Secretary of State De Jager on the information chain of the Belastingdienst. On 26 April 2022, McKinsey delivered a report to that same Belastingdienst on the turnover-tax system, which is so outdated that two hundred and fifty staff still type returns over by hand. Replacement trajectory: two hundred million euros, duration twenty years.²⁴ Between those two reports lies the ministership of Finance of Wopke Hoekstra, former McKinsey consultant on that very Belastingdienst dossier. At the end of 2020, EY completed the report Action Perspectives Investigation into Fundamental Service Transformation. Secretary of State Vijlbrief noted in his response that the Belastingdienst needed rest, and not yet another cohort of advisers. In the budget year 2021, central government spent €2.29 billion on external hire. Three years later, in 2024, that had risen to 3.7 billion, 15.4 per cent of total personnel expenditure, well above the Roemer Norm13 of ten per cent.²⁵

The congealed outcome sits in the rhetoric of modernisation. Since the 1990s, every successive secretary of state and director-general of the Belastingdienst has carried the claim that the Service must be modernised, that the information chain must be put in order, that service delivery must become more client-oriented, and that the culture must change. What in administrative speech is called modernisation is, in actual outcome, an accumulation of legacy systems, a migration history of nearly two decades to which no end is in sight, and an organisation in arrears on systems replacement on multiple fronts. The childcare allowance affair, the Fraud Signalling Facility, the Hillen-rule error, the inheritance-tax backlogs, the long-term care levy, the UPC affair, and the Box 3 Restoration Act: in each of these dossiers, modernisation was presented as necessity, and in each of these dossiers it was awarded as advisory commission to the external chain. What in an ordinary analysis would be read as an implementation organisation in continuous crisis is, in the modernisation rhetoric, read as a Service on its way to a higher state of professionalism. The residue is presented back as preference.

The word continuity sits in transformation. The word began its career in Dutch public administration in the 1990s, with change management and business process redesign as background. By now, the word carries the work of nearly every central-government organisation in a phase of internal reform. Transformation promises a fundamental change, a new state of workability, a parting from the old logic. What it delivers in practice is a sequence of programmes, project plans, kick-off meetings, leadership coaches, dialogue sessions and transformation atlases whose operational effects on the implementation often remain limited. The word transformation on the front of the programme remains in place. What it transported — the idea of a radical reorganisation with lasting effects — slips out of sight beneath the cycle of programmes.

The optimisation asymmetry sits in the politically visible KPIs. The Belastingdienst measures throughput times, customer satisfaction scores, portal availability, error rates on first assessment. What it does not measure is the cumulative cognitive burden it places on the citizen, the extent to which its rules exceed the doenvermogen14 of the average citizen, the executability of the regulations for its own employees, and the consequences of legacy choices for future interventions. The WRR report Knowing Is Not Yet Doing (2017) demonstrated empirically that self-reliance and doing capability follow a normal distribution that is only weakly related to educational level, and which is further depressed by stress and mental burden during life events.²⁶ The childcare allowance affair was the most harrowing illustration of this. The Belastingdienst’s optimisation on auditable KPIs has expelled the non-measurable variable executability for the citizen from its design. Sandra Palmen’s Palmen memorandum of March 2017, in which she stated that the Belastingdienst had acted reprehensibly, lay for nearly four years beneath the lid of the apparatus that scored highly on other KPIs.²⁷

The chain organisation of Pattern 4 is at its most visible in this dossier. McKinsey, Deloitte, EY, KPMG and Berenschot invoice millions to the same Service that they helped to design in earlier rounds. Deloitte conducted the inquiry into the face-mask affair and culture studies at the Belastingdienst; one commission alone, June 2021 to May 2022, cost four point seven million euros.²⁸ Mariana Mazzucato and Rosie Collington formulated the structure in The Big Con (2023): consultancy delivers, simultaneously, the problem diagnosis, the solution strategy and the evaluation report. In a properly working governance system, these three functions are institutionally separate — namely, politics, execution and oversight. When they coincide in a single bureau, the feedback loop that should lead to repair disappears. Organisational learning is privatised, and thereby lost to the institution itself. Whoever wishes to break the pattern at a single moment would have to clean out the chain itself. Whoever cleans out the chain cuts into the advisory capacity on which the Service has, partly through earlier outsourcing, become materially dependent.

The ABD rotation regime works beneath all of this. The Senior Civil Service, established in 1995 to promote mobility, broad deployability and the professionalisation of senior official functions, comprises in 2024 around nineteen hundred management functions at scale fifteen and above. In 2024 the average tenure according to the ABD annual report was four years and eight months, with three hundred and fifty-eight starting moves to ABD positions in that year.²⁹ What the ABD regime optimises is mobility as virtue, broad deployability as quality, prevention of too long sitting senior officials. What it expels is dossier knowledge, networks in the field, the slow accumulation of understanding for the peculiarities of a specific implementation chain. The parliamentary inquiry committees of the past decade — childcare allowance, Groningen, fraud-fighting at the Belastingdienst — have repeatedly pointed in their reports to administrative discontinuity as one of the factors that deepened the harm. Work on Implementation (2020) and Tjeenk Willink’s writings of the same period have named this. Under the Schoof government, a first step towards reform of the ABD was announced in March 2025. The announcement is not the evaluation of a successful correction; it is the recognition that the pattern is at work and that it must be counterweighted.

The form-laundering sits in the programmatic apparatus of the cultural change. The Belastingdienst maintains, after the childcare allowance affair, an extensive system of vision documents, core values, leadership programmes, dialogue sessions and cultural-change workshops. At the same time, the incentive structure, the distribution of authority, the funding and the political steering remain largely unchanged. Boonstra’s claim, that culture sits in the floor covering, captures the heart of it: a programme alongside the line cannot change the culture.³⁰ What it can do is produce the outward features of a transformation, with as by-product a ritualisation that masks the very problem it claimed to address. The evaluation paragraph of the programme reports satisfaction scores of participants, attendance figures, and the extent to which the leadership competencies are discussed in performance reviews. What it cannot report, because the instrument does not invite it to, is whether the Service, in implementation practice, has come to maintain a fundamentally different relationship with the citizen.

Above all this, the sincere voice speaks. The director-general of the Belastingdienst who leads the transformation programme believes in his work. The project manager who draws up the programme planning does his work well. The McKinsey consultant who writes the next report delivers craftsmanship by the standards of his sector. The ABD officer who rotates on to the next position carries her experience to another implementation chain. The minister who endorses the programme confirms the continuity of administrative attention. None of them, from their own position, can name the stacking of the six patterns without putting his own work in the balance. The stacking reproduces itself, because each of its components, examined separately, is reasonable.

§ 07 · The integrative counter-movement

The question is what can be done about it. Not as therapy, not as a great upheaval, not as systems change that carries its own impossibility within it. But as six counter-movements that together yield a logic of diagnosis and intervention, just as the six patterns together form a cognitive apparatus. The counter-movements reinforce one another as the patterns reinforce one another. Whoever attempts one without the other five discovers, in due course, that the remaining five have absorbed his intervention. Whoever handles them as a whole receives no blueprint, but a working practice. Borging15 is the through-line that runs through all six: success is not measured on the day of departure, but in what remains standing once no one thinks of the intervention any more.³¹

The first counter-movement runs against the meta-pattern of the sincere voice. It is called reorientation to materiality. The sincere speaker is not persuaded by counter-arguments, because he means to be telling the truth. What can in fact tilt him is confrontation with material that his vocabulary cannot absorb. The alderman who opens the neighbourhood-park evening and is invited the same week to spend half a day walking with a maintenance worker in a comparable park delivered ten years ago receives an experience that his policy language cannot absorb. The ABD officer who steers the transformation agenda of the Belastingdienst and is required to spend four half-days per month observing in an implementation office in Heerlen experiences the tension between design and implementation no longer as a KPI, but as a place. Whoever wishes to look systemically must not control the articulation, but measure the outcome in physical terms. The sincere voice becomes prudent only when it is confronted with what it cannot itself see. For that, the organisation must arrange exposure as routine, not as incident.

The second counter-movement runs against Pattern 1, the congealed outcome as manifested preference. It is called the double reading. With every outcome measurement — whether waiting lists, market shares, customer preferences or subsidy applications — the administrator obliges himself and his policy advisers to two readings at the same moment. First: this is what people choose within the existing supply. Then: this is what the existing architecture produces. The two readings are not the same, and the difference between them is precisely what the pattern wishes to render invisible. Mark Moore’s Strategic Triangle is here diagnostically precise: whoever believes himself to hold legitimacy because the outcome corresponds with the measurement must ask whether the measurement is not the residue of his own design.³² In practice, this counter-movement asks for instruments that make the design history of an outcome visible alongside the outcome itself. A waiting list is never only a measurement of demand; it is always also a measurement of supply. A market share is never only consumer preference; it is always also choice architecture. The double reading does not enable consensus on what the reality is, but it forces the speaker to see both realities side by side.

The third counter-movement runs against Pattern 2, word continuity. It is called philological discipline, and it consists in the willingness to name, in a meeting room, the distance between what a word transports and what the thing delivers. Klemperer kept it up for twelve years in his diary, with a pencil and the silent discipline to record every word in use against what it actually produced.³³ An interim manager who introduces philological discipline in a municipal organisation asks at the table: what exactly do we mean by participation in this decision, by community in this programme, by sustainable in this investment, by demand-driven in this procurement? Not to catch the speaker out, not to convince him, but to put the distance on the table. Philological discipline is a cheap lever. It requires no extra budget, no reorganisation, no legislative amendment. It requires only that the speaker is willing to examine his own vocabulary, and that the organisation gives him the time for it. Its effect is that the speaker, the moment he himself names the distance, can no longer fall back on the older meaning without being aware of it. From that moment on, he is no longer innocent in his sincerity.

The fourth counter-movement runs against Pattern 3, the optimisation asymmetry. It is called multi-criteria counter-voice, and it requires that there be at the table a voice for the expelled variable, with authority, with mandate, with budget. Onora O’Neill formulated, in her 2002 Reith Lectures, the notion of intelligent accountability: a form of accountability that gives room to context, judgement and reason, rather than performance indicators that ask only for the form.³⁴ In Dutch implementation, this counter-movement requires a redistribution of the design right. With every decision in which a KPI is tied to reward or sanction, a second voice must sit at the table representing the expelled variables. For housebuilding this would mean that, alongside the BENG indicators, indoor-air quality, noise nuisance, repairability and resident satisfaction stand in the assessment framework — not as appendix but as equal criterion. For youth care it would mean that continuity of helper, waiting time and substantive outcome measures sit alongside cost price in the procurement cycle, with explicit mention of the trade-off. For the Belastingdienst it would mean that, alongside throughput time, doenvermogen-burden per policy measure becomes a measuring instrument as well. The method is technically available; its adoption is a political choice. The change colours of De Caluwé and Vermaak show what is missing here: the pattern is monochromically blue, and the counter-movement requires a many-coloured table at which white (self-organisation and emergence), red (motivation and people) and green (learning) provide counterweight to the blue measure.³⁵

The fifth counter-movement runs against Pattern 4, the problem-causer as solution-provider. It is called exit-test against the chain, and it asks three separate questions which, in a healthy governance system, may not be answered by a single party. The diagnosis question: who identifies the problem? The solution question: who designs and implements the solution? The evaluation question: who judges whether the solution has worked? When the three answers refer to the same chain, Pattern 4 is at work. The interim manager who refuses his own follow-up commission when the organisation does not become stronger from it puts Pattern 4 out of operation in his own practice. The municipal secretary who says no to the third advisory commission in two years on the same problem breaks the cycle at the spot where it costs least and changes most. The minister who demands rest for an implementation organisation, instead of a new transformation programme, does what Secretary of State Vijlbrief did in 2020: he reads the organisation’s exhaustion as signal and not as problem. The touchstone for this counter-movement is concrete: do we ever leave this chain, or do we continually expand it? Whoever answers that question honestly recognises Pattern 4. And can begin — not by abolishing it, for that cannot be done, but by breaking it at the spot where it touches his own organisation.

The sixth counter-movement runs against Pattern 5, form-laundering. It is called the borging test, and it is at the same time the artery that runs through all six counter-movements. The question is always the same: what remains standing the moment no one thinks of the intervention any more? In chapter nine of the forthcoming book The Direction of the Movement16, I work out borging as the first KPI of interim work. For form-laundering, the borging test holds in a specific way. An intervention against form-laundering that stands on the day of the interim manager’s departure but disappears in the two years thereafter, because the old apparatus resumes the old form, has been no intervention but a temporary dramatisation. What in fact breaks form-laundering is an institutional reorganisation whose working extends beyond the term of office and whose success is measured by what remains standing when no one thinks of it any more. That is a different yardstick from that of the term cycle, and it requires a different kind of courage from that of the project plan: the courage to leave behind something that no longer resembles its architect.

The six counter-movements form a single system. Reorientation to materiality, double reading, philological discipline, multi-criteria counter-voice, exit-test against the chain, borging test. None of the six is sufficient on its own. Whoever seeks materiality alone without philological discipline acquires factual knowledge without language to name it. Whoever handles philological discipline alone without the exit-test against the chain keeps speaking about words within a procedure that produces the words themselves. Whoever applies the borging test alone without the multi-criteria counter-voice designs borging on the old measure. The Aiki method — worked out in The Direction of the Movement as an intervention principle for the interim manager under pressure — is the practical integration here. Aiki requires an ethical ground that determines direction, and a suppleness in execution that takes the existing energies along without being carried by them. Whoever moves with the current without ethical ground does pattern-work and reinforces the five form-patterns. Whoever works against the current without suppleness is repelled as external enemy. The integrative counter-movement requires both at once. Not as technique, but as posture.³⁶

§ 08 · What this means for the corpus

Series III closes with this synthesis a three-part movement. Series I, published in April 2026, diagnosed the dissociated organisation. Series II Doorwerking17, in publication from April 2026 to spring 2027, documents its reverberation in the private lives of citizens. This synthesis closes Series III and with it the three-part diagnosis. The three series together form a diagnostic architecture whose layers fit upon one another.

Series I diagnosed the internal symptomatology of the dissociated organisation. Four symptoms were worked out: the reputation architecture that detaches itself from the primary work, absorbed debt without integration, the diploma democracy of the apparatus, and the performative maturity of administrative trajectories. What in Series I was named as institutional structure receives in Series III its cognitive underpinning. The six patterns are together the cognitive apparatus that holds the dissociated organisation upright. Without the meta-pattern of the sincere voice, the dissociation would not be borne by sincere speakers. Without Pattern 1, the outcome of the apparatus could not be presented back as preference. Without Pattern 2, the speech of the apparatus could not continue to carry the cultural memory of an earlier function. Without Pattern 3, the measure of the apparatus could not keep the non-measurable variables out of sight. Without Pattern 4, the external chain would have no material interest in the continuation of the dissociation. Without Pattern 5, the procedure of the apparatus could not present itself as the delivery of the function over which it has lost its grip. The six patterns together supply the cognitive apparatus beneath the dissociated organisation, and with it the operational impossibility of correcting it from within.

Series II documented in eight papers how that dissociation lands in the private lives of citizens. The Illusion of Capacity, The Silent Expropriation, The Citizen Without Recourse, The Pressure on the Weakest, The Vanishing Fabric, Blind to a Known Future, Lagging Lagging Behind the Speed and The Frozen Zeitgeist. What in Series II was named as reverberation18 for the citizen receives in Series III the mechanism by which the reverberation became possible. The six patterns supply the mechanism beneath the eight reverberations. The quiet dispossession of Series II Nº 02 is made possible by the optimisation asymmetry of Pattern 3, in combination with the word continuity of Pattern 2 and the congealed outcome of Pattern 1. The citizen without recourse of Series II Nº 03 is made possible by the form-laundering of Pattern 5, in which the procedure retains the outward features of legal protection without being able to deliver the function. The disappearing fabric of Series II Nº 05 is what remains when the six patterns work together in a neighbourhood. And The Frozen Zeitgeist of Series II Nº 08, the reverberation that describes the zeitgeist that can no longer move, is precisely the cumulative outcome of the six patterns together. A zeitgeist does not solidify through a single pattern. It solidifies through a cognitive apparatus that holds the speaker so close to his own vocabulary that he can no longer formulate the movement that is needed. The bridge from Series III to Series II Nº 08 is therefore the most essential of the entire corpus. What Series II describes as a state in The Frozen Zeitgeist, Series III delivers as the causal apparatus.

The Direction of the Movement, the forthcoming book in preparation, supplies the repertoire of action for those who recognise the pattern and wish to break it. There stand the four core models — the Strategic Triangle, the Interim Cycle, the Change Colours and the Aiki method — in their practical application for interim management in the Dutch public sector. Chapter nine works out borging as primary KPI of interim work. Chapter three works out the Strategic Triangle as analytical compass. Chapter eleven works out the Aiki method with its ethical ground. What Series III lays bare as cognitive apparatus receives, in The Direction of the Movement, its practical counterweight. The six counter-movements of this synthesis are not the practice layer of the book; they are the cognitive preparation for that practice layer. Whoever wishes to handle the practice layer without having done the cognitive preparation discovers, in due course, that his instruments have been absorbed by the patterns he set out to break.

The pamphlet The Discriminating Eye, published in April 2026 on nourishment.houseofviridian.org, runs parallel to this corpus.³⁷ The pamphlet works out, in five phases, the trajectory of brands (workshop, reputation, scale, conglomerate, hieroglyph) and formulates ten commandments for whoever wishes to practise the discriminating eye in the cultural layer. The sixth commandment, trust the eye over the metric, and the eighth, measure what makes the work, not what justifies it, run parallel to the structure laid out in this synthesis. The pamphlet and this synthesis share a methodological ambition: to learn to look in the cultural layer by beginning at the material. The synthesis uses the pamphlet as parallel source, not as source under the line.

§ 09 · Closing

In the gymnasium of the community centre, on the Wednesday evening in March 2026 with which this paper opens, nothing exceptional happens. The alderman presents. The civil servant listens along. The attendees ask questions. The renderings hang on the screen. At the end of the evening someone clears away the folding chairs. The woman from the existing neighbourhood cycles back across the river and goes home. Three months later the neighbourhood park is delivered as it stood on the renderings. At the opening, on a Friday afternoon, the alderman says that the park has become a place where the neighbourhood comes together. He means it. He has no reason to think otherwise.

What this synthesis has tried to do is read the evening anew. Not to accuse the alderman, not to put the civil servant in the corner, not to side with the woman from the existing neighbourhood about who should be able to choose first. The evening itself is normal. It is the six patterns that come together in it that make it testable. Whoever sees only one pattern misses the structure. Whoever sees them together gains another eye for what, in the same evening, could also have happened differently.

The Dutch implementation state in 2026 is an institution that, in all its layers, works through these patterns. Not because it is bad. Not because it is peopled by cynics. Not because its laws have been wrongly designed. It works through the patterns because the patterns themselves, in their cognitive anchoring and their institutional force, shape the working practice of its people. The six patterns are no fate. They are outcomes. And outcomes can, with more restraint than haste and with more care of design than rhetoric, be repaired.

The six counter-movements that this synthesis proposes are no blueprint. They form a working practice for those who recognise the apparatus and do not wish the patterns to be passed on through their own hands. Reorientation to materiality. Double reading. Philological discipline. Multi-criteria counter-voice. Exit-test against the chain. Borging test. None of the six is cheap. None of them requires a legislative amendment that will not come. All of them require that the speaker is willing to know himself exposed to an experience that his vocabulary cannot absorb. That is, for the pattern this corpus describes, no luxury but a precondition. Without that exposure, the sincere voice becomes not only sincere; it becomes untouchable.

The woman from the existing neighbourhood never returns to the municipality. She has no means to reverse the decision, no platform to share her observation, no position to be heard in a meeting. What she saw on the site plan that evening is not recorded in any document. It is the silent observation that, in every Dutch municipality, on every Wednesday evening, in a comparable gymnasium, by a comparable resident, is made — and that almost never finds its way into the decision-making cycle that might process it. What this synthesis offers is no translation of that observation into administrative language. It is an instrument by which administrative language can recognise itself at the moment it threatens to overlook its own work.

For whoever recognises the meta-pattern, the six form-patterns become exercises in the discriminating eye. For whoever does not recognise the meta-pattern, they become at best new doxa. The six counter-movements work only at first hand. At second hand, they are absorbed by the patterns they set out to break. That is no tragedy of the work; it is its precondition. Whoever wishes to break the patterns must summon the discipline first to see that he carries them himself. Only then does the work become operational. The difference between the cognitive apparatus that holds itself upright and the practice that can break it lies in the speaker’s willingness, for one evening, for one report, for one decision, no longer to say what he usually says, and to look at what then arrives on the table.

There it begins. And there, for this series, it closes.



Jacob Huibers is an interim manager with more than twenty years of experience in the Dutch public sector. He has worked as cluster manager, cluster director and quartermaster at municipalities ranging from fifty thousand to over two hundred thousand inhabitants, and at inter-municipal collaborative bodies across the social and physical domains. Statecraft is his platform for strategic reflection on public-sector execution, pillar IV of House of Viridian.

Responses and counter-arguments via Statecraft.nl.


Footnotes


Notes on translation

This English text is a translation of the Dutch original Statecraft Reeks III · Nº 07 · Synthese (May 2026). Where Dutch institutional terminology bears precision that an English equivalent would lose (Belastingdienst, ABD, Wmo, Omgevingswet, BENG, ISDE, joint arrangement / gemeenschappelijke regeling, doenvermogen, borging, doorwerking), the Dutch term is retained with a contextual gloss in the translator’s notes 1 through 18 on first use. Untranslatable terms that bear analytical weight throughout the corpus (borging, doenvermogen, doorwerking) are retained in italics in the running text. The names of the six pattern papers are given in their Dutch original in the footnotes, since they refer to specific publications; in the running text, the patterns themselves are translated.

The titles of the eight Series II papers in § 08 are rendered in English equivalents (e.g. The Silent Expropriation for De stille onteigening); these are working titles used here for reference, not the formal English titles of those papers, which remain to be settled when the Series II papers are themselves translated. Cited Dutch sources retain their Dutch titles; cited international sources are given in their original language.


Colophon

About the author Jacob Huibers is an interim manager, author and adviser in the Dutch public sector, with assignments in the social domain, the physical domain, regional cooperation arrangements and administrative restoration tasks at municipalities of fifty thousand to two hundred and fifty thousand inhabitants. He is the author of De Richting van de Beweging: Interim-Management in de Publieke Sector (manuscript in preparation) and of the corpus Limbic Literacy, Allemaal Ontheemd and Decline and Revival, all published under House of Viridian.

About the series Series III is the third Statecraft series of House of Viridian. It comprises six pattern papers plus this synthesis, and teaches administrators and citizens to recognise six patterns of cognitive distortion that remain invisible in the soft layers of policy and become legible in hard materiality — housing, food, objects, infrastructure, transmission. Materiality lies less than documents because it does not change quickly enough to carry the illusion of exogeneity persuasively. The meta-pattern that carries the five form-patterns, De oprechte stem, is worked out in Nº 01. Papers Nº 02 to Nº 06 work out the five form-patterns. This synthesis, Synthese, is in publication order Nº 07 and closes the series.

Place in the series Series III Nº 01: De oprechte stem (The Sincere Voice) — meta-pattern. Series III Nº 02: De gestolde uitkomst als gemanifesteerde voorkeur (The Congealed Outcome as Manifested Preference) — Pattern 1. Series III Nº 03: De woordcontinuïteit die de materiële breuk maskeert (Word Continuity that Masks the Material Rupture) — Pattern 2. Series III Nº 04: De optimalisatie-asymmetrie (The Optimisation Asymmetry) — Pattern 3. Series III Nº 05: De probleemveroorzaker als oplossingsleverancier (The Problem-Causer as Solution-Provider) — Pattern 4. Series III Nº 06: De vorm-laundering (Form-Laundering) — Pattern 5. Series III Nº 07: Synthese (Synthesis).

Connection with the existing corpus Series I (Gedissocieerde Organisaties, April 2026) diagnosed the internal symptomatology of the dissociated organisation. Series II (Doorwerking, eight papers, April 2026 to spring 2027) documented its external reverberation in the private lives of citizens. Series III teaches one to look at the cognitive patterns that were implicitly at work in both series. De Richting van de Beweging (manuscript in preparation) supplies the practice layer; Allemaal Ontheemd the human layer; Decline and Revival the civilisational time layer. The pamphlet The Discriminating Eye (Huibers, April 2026, on nourishment.houseofviridian.org) is parallel source, not source under the line.

Publisher HOUSE OF VIRIDIAN OÜ Tallinn · Lisbon

Contact jacob@statecraft.nl statecraft.nl

Series: STATECRAFT SERIES · SERIES III Nº 07


Footnotes

¹ For the Bourdieu layer beneath the meta-pattern see P. Bourdieu, Esquisse d’une théorie de la pratique, Droz, 1972, in English Outline of a Theory of Practice, Cambridge University Press, 1977, in particular p. 191 for the definition of misrecognition; Language and Symbolic Power, edited and introduced by John B. Thompson, Polity Press / Harvard University Press, 1991. The full elaboration for Dutch administrative practice is in J. Huibers, De oprechte stem, Statecraft Series III Nº 01, May 2026, with the broader theoretical anchoring in Gramsci, Fisher, Arendt, Lipsky, Maynard-Moody, Hirschman, Jost, Bovens and Wille, Murray, Sunstein and Kuran.

² V. Klemperer, LTI: Lingua Tertii Imperii. Notizbuch eines Philologen, Aufbau, 1947; English translation M. Brady, The Language of the Third Reich: LTI: Lingua Tertii Imperii: A Philologist’s Notebook, Athlone Press, 2000. Chapters IX Fanatisch and XVII System und Organisation supply the methodological apparatus that, in J. Huibers, De woordcontinuïteit die de materiële breuk maskeert, Statecraft Series III Nº 03, May 2026, is applied to six Dutch policy words.

³ C.A.E. Goodhart, Problems of Monetary Management: The U.K. Experience, Reserve Bank of Australia conference 1975, included in C.A.E. Goodhart, Monetary Theory and Practice: The U.K. Experience, Macmillan, 1984. For Strathern’s sharpening, see M. Strathern, Improving Ratings: Audit in the British University System, European Review 5(3), 1997, pp. 305–321. The full elaboration for the optimisation-asymmetry pattern is in J. Huibers, De optimalisatie-asymmetrie, Statecraft Series III Nº 04, May 2026.

⁴ M. Mazzucato and R. Collington, The Big Con: How the Consulting Industry Weakens Our Businesses, Infantilizes Our Governments and Warps Our Economies, Allen Lane, 2023. For the application to the Dutch consultancy and interim chain, see J. Huibers, De probleemveroorzaker als oplossingsleverancier, Statecraft Series III Nº 05, May 2026.

⁵ M. Power, The Audit Society: Rituals of Verification, Oxford University Press, 1997, in particular chapter 4 (The Audit Explosion) and chapter 6 (The Audit Society). The cited formulation appears on p. 123. For the application to Dutch form-laundering, see J. Huibers, De vorm-laundering, Statecraft Series III Nº 06, May 2026.

⁶ Klimaatakkoord, 28 June 2019, part C1.3 Aanpak gebouwde omgeving, with the sector-specific task of 3.4 Mton CO₂ reduction in 2030 and the renovation of around 1.5 million existing dwellings. National target of 49 per cent CO₂ reduction in 2030 relative to 1990, recalibrated to 55 per cent in the Rutte IV Coalition Agreement (December 2021), in line with the European Commission. For the current state, see Klimaat- en Energieverkenning 2025 of the PBL and the Klimaatakkoord Progress Report 2025.

⁷ TNO, Energiearmoede in Nederland 2019–2024: Een overzicht en een verdieping op risicohuishoudens bij hoge energieprijzen, TNO 2025 R11172, 25 July 2025; CBS, Monitor Energiearmoede 2023 (published simultaneously); TNO press release 25 July 2025, Energiearmoede in 2024 gestegen naar 6,1 procent. Energy-poor households rose from 396,000 (4.8 per cent) in 2023 to 510,000 (6.1 per cent) in 2024.

⁸ Dutch New Energy Research, market report on heat pumps 2025. For the income distribution of ISDE applications, see CBS, Monitor ISDE NWF 2023, 3 May 2024 (cbs.nl), on the basis of which TNO formulates the income-ceiling recommendation in its advice to the Ministry of Climate and Green Growth.

⁹ Ministerie van Binnenlandse Zaken en Koninkrijksrelaties, Sterke toename gebruik Nationaal Warmtefonds bij lage en middeninkomens voor verduurzaming van woningen, press release 26 February 2024 (rijksoverheid.nl), with accompanying letter to Parliament from Minister Hugo de Jonge of the same date. The release contains the fragment cited in this paper and in Series III Nº 02 § 05.

¹⁰ Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving, Beschikbaarheid en toepassingsmogelijkheden van duurzame biomassa, 2020. For the broader context, see Algemene Rekenkamer, Energiesubsidies in beeld, 2015, and follow-up reports on SDE+ and SDE++.

¹¹ Council of State, annulment of the original 2019 permit for 212 kilotonnes of wood pellets per year, end of August 2023. Vattenfall pulled the plug on the Diemen project itself on 16 October 2024. For the broader chronicle, see the reporting of Trouw and Follow the Money on Diemen decision-making 2019–2024.

¹² The case is worked out in J. Huibers, De optimalisatie-asymmetrie, Statecraft Series III Nº 04, May 2026, § 01 and § 03. For the construction and handover practice, see Stroomversnelling, Eerste versie Energieprestatie Monitoring Norm beschikbaar, and ISC, Nul op de meter vooralsnog een zorgenkindje, sector article 2019. For indoor-climate and mould problems: TNO, Verbeter binnenluchtkwaliteit voor een betere gezondheid, press release May 2025; RIVM, Binnenmilieu-kwaliteit: ventilatie en vochtigheid, dossier on rivm.nl.

¹³ The quotation is taken from a series of reports in regional media and consumer programmes on net-zero-energy renovations in among others Drenthe, Tilburg and Nijmegen, in the years 2017–2019. The quotation is in the original paper marked as exemplary and not tied to any living, identifiable person; comparable formulations have been recorded in multiple reports.

¹⁴ Electricity Act 1998 (Stb. 1998, 427) and Gas Act 2000 (Stb. 2000, 305). Opening up to small consumers was completed on 1 July 2004. The Independent Network Management Act (Stb. 2006, 614) compelled, from 2007, the splitting of network management and supply. For the privatisation history, see WRR, Publieke zaken in de marktsamenleving, 2012, and SCP, De staat van de publieke dienst, 2014.

¹⁵ Evaluatiecommissie Omgevingswet, In werking, maar onderbenut, January 2025. The evaluation observes that provinces and water boards have hardly any experience with participation and that of the municipalities only a handful have published a legally valid participation policy.

¹⁶ Chamber of Commerce figures on youth-care providers, reported among others in Follow the Money, De decentralisatie als aanjager van versnippering, 2020, and follow-up reports 2021–2024. For the specific regional figures (Groningen 30 to 220, Arnhem 300 to 900) see the regional newspapers that cooperated with FTM in the Open House investigation.

¹⁷ Stichting Het Vergeten Kind, Wachten op hulp, 2021, followed by monitoring reports 2022–2024. The figures are also reported in Algemene Rekenkamer, Vraag en aanbod in de jeugdzorg, 2023.

¹⁸ Stichting Het Vergeten Kind, Wachten op hulp, 2021, and Wisselingen in de hulpverlening, 2022. The Netherlands Youth Institute confirms the pattern in its dossiers on youth care and attachment (nji.nl, dossiers 2023–2025).

¹⁹ Centraal Planbureau, Inkoop in het sociaal domein, 2021, in particular the paragraphs on Open House and on light versus strict selection. For the broader context, see also Vereniging Nederlandse Gemeenten, Brede evaluatie Wmo en Jeugdwet, 2022.

²⁰ The figures on Mentaal Beter are taken from research by Follow the Money in the years 2021–2023 on private equity in mental healthcare. For the broader picture on Pluryn, see Pluryn annual report 2018 and the reporting of Follow the Money and Pointer on Hoenderloo (2020–2021).

²¹ EY, Onderzoek private equity in de zorg, on commission from VWS, December 2023. For the counter-analysis, see B. Ligterink and B. Baarsma, Private equity in de Nederlandse zorg, SEO Economisch Onderzoek, 2024. The full elaboration with caveats is in Statecraft Series III Nº 05 § 04 dossier VI.

²² Berenschot, Benchmark Care, annual editions since 2016. The figures on administrative burden in long-term care and the target from the Integraal Zorgakkoord 2022 are included in the IZA Progress Reports 2023–2025.

²³ Letter to Parliament from Minister Hugo de Jonge on Open House in youth care, 2018. For the Hervormingsagenda Jeugd and the subsequent AMvB Reële Prijzen Jeugdwet (Stb. 2024, in force 1 July 2024), see the VWS letters to Parliament 2023–2024 and the interim advice of the expert committee Tamara van Ark, January 2025.

²⁴ McKinsey memorandum to Secretary of State De Jager, June 2009; McKinsey report on the turnover-tax system, April 2022; EY report Handelingsperspectieven onderzoek fundamentele transformatie dienstverlening, end of 2020; response Secretary of State Vijlbrief, 2020. The broader chronicle is in J. Huibers, De probleemveroorzaker als oplossingsleverancier, Statecraft Series III Nº 05, May 2026, § 01 and § 04 dossier IV.

²⁵ Jaarrapportage Bedrijfsvoering Rijk 2024, Verantwoordingsdag May 2025. External hire central government 2024: 3.7 billion euros, 15.4 per cent of total personnel expenditure. The Roemer Norm of 10 per cent has been exceeded every year since 2015. For department-specific figures (BZK 21 per cent, Logius 48 per cent, SSC-ICT 34 per cent), see the departmental annual reports 2024.

²⁶ Wetenschappelijke Raad voor het Regeringsbeleid, Weten is nog geen doen: Een realistisch perspectief op redzaamheid, WRR-rapport 97, 2017. The reverberation via the doenvermogen test has been included in the Integral Assessment Framework for policy and regulation since 2021.

²⁷ Sandra Palmen memorandum, Belastingdienst, March 2017, made public during her hearing by the Parliamentary Committee of Inquiry on Childcare Allowance in November 2020. For the full text and context, see the report of the POK Ongekend onrecht, December 2020.

²⁸ Deloitte commission Belastingdienst June 2021 to May 2022, amount 4.7 million euros. For the broader picture on consultancy expenditure in the handling of the childcare allowance affair, see the reporting of Trouw and NRC 2021–2024 and the letters to Parliament from the Ministry of Finance on implementation costs.

²⁹ ABD annual report 2024. Average tenure four years and eight months, 358 starting moves to ABD positions. For the reform announcement under the Schoof government, see the BZK letter to Parliament on modernisation of the ABD, March 2025. For the broader context, see Werk aan Uitvoering, final report 2020, and H. Tjeenk Willink, Groter denken, kleiner doen, Prometheus, 2018.

³⁰ J.J. Boonstra, Leiders in cultuurverandering: Hoe leiders in organisaties succesvol hun cultuur veranderen en strategische vernieuwing realiseren, Van Gorcum, first edition 2010, third wholly revised edition 2014. The claim that culture sits in the floor covering is a Boonstra formulation that has gained wide currency in Dutch organisational science. For the application to form-laundering, see Statecraft Series III Nº 06 § 05.

³¹ J. Huibers, De Richting van de Beweging: Interim-Management in de Publieke Sector, manuscript in preparation, chapter 9. Borging as primary KPI is the through-running touchstone of the Statecraft corpus, earlier worked out in J. Huibers, Statecraft in het Interregnum, April 2026, and Navigeren versus Plannen, 2026.

³² M.H. Moore, Creating Public Value: Strategic Management in Government, Harvard University Press, 1995. For the elaboration in the Statecraft corpus, see Statecraft in het Interregnum, April 2026, Statecraft Series Nº 04, and De Richting van de Beweging, manuscript in preparation, chapter 3.

³³ V. Klemperer, LTI, 1947. The methodological passage on Worte als winzige Arsendosen in the foreword Heroismus is the anchor for this counter-movement.

³⁴ O. O’Neill, A Question of Trust: The BBC Reith Lectures 2002, Cambridge University Press, 2002. The cited passage on intelligent accountability and the weakening of professional judgement through excessive regulation appears in lecture 3 (Called to Account).

³⁵ L. de Caluwé and H. Vermaak, Leren Veranderen: Een handboek voor de veranderkundige, first edition Samsom, 1999; third wholly revised edition Vakmedianet, 2019. For the application in the Statecraft corpus, see the earlier papers of Series III and De Richting van de Beweging, chapter 7.

³⁶ The Aiki method is worked out in J. Huibers, De Richting van de Beweging: Interim-Management in de Publieke Sector, manuscript in preparation, chapter 11. The Aiki link with the meta-pattern is in De oprechte stem, Statecraft Series III Nº 01, May 2026.

³⁷ J. Huibers, The Discriminating Eye, April 2026, available at nourishment.houseofviridian.org. The five-phase trajectory of brands (workshop, reputation, scale, conglomerate, hieroglyph) is worked out in the pamphlet on pp. 9–13. The ten commandments stand on pp. 17–22.

Footnotes

  1. Wethouder — member of the municipal executive board (College van burgemeester en wethouders), broadly equivalent to a deputy mayor with portfolio responsibility. Translated throughout as alderman (UK / Commonwealth usage), which conveys the elected-portfolio-holder character better than deputy mayor. 2

  2. Belastingdienst — the Dutch Tax and Customs Administration, the central-government implementation organisation responsible for tax assessment, collection and certain benefits. Retained in the original throughout for institutional precision.

  3. Picnic — Dutch online supermarket and home-delivery operator, founded in 2015. The Picnic case is worked out in Series III Nº 02 (§ 06) and Nº 04 (§ 05) and recurs as a recurrent example in the corpus.

  4. Joint arrangement — translation of gemeenschappelijke regeling, the statutory inter-municipal cooperation entity governed by the Wet gemeenschappelijke regelingen (Joint Arrangements Act). Approximately 438 such bodies exist in the Netherlands; they carry a significant proportion of municipal expenditure on shared tasks (waste, public health, environmental services, regional employment, etc.).

  5. ABDAlgemene Bestuursdienst, the Senior Civil Service of the Dutch central government, encompassing approximately 1,900 management positions at scale 15 and above, with a built-in mobility and rotation regime.

  6. ISDEInvesteringssubsidie Duurzame Energie, the Investment Subsidy for Sustainable Energy and Energy Saving, administered by the Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO).

  7. BENGBijna Energieneutrale Gebouwen, the Nearly Energy-Neutral Buildings standard for new construction, in force since 1 January 2021 (revised 2024).

  8. TNO — Netherlands Organisation for Applied Scientific Research; CBS — Statistics Netherlands.

  9. PBL — Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency.

  10. Omgevingswet — the Environment and Planning Act, in force since 1 January 2024, integrating the bulk of Dutch spatial planning, environmental and permit law into a single statute.

  11. CPB — Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (Centraal Planbureau).

  12. HKZ — Stichting Harmonisatie Kwaliteitsbeoordeling in de Zorgsector quality mark; IGJ — Health and Youth Care Inspectorate; NZa — Dutch Healthcare Authority.

  13. Roemer Norm — non-statutory ten-per-cent ceiling on external hire as a share of total personnel expenditure of central-government organisations, named after parliamentarian Emile Roemer; politically operative since 2010, exceeded each year since 2015.

  14. Doenvermogen — literally “doing capability”, the Dutch policy term coined in the WRR report Knowing Is Not Yet Doing (2017) for the practical capacity of citizens to navigate administrative procedures, which is empirically distributed normally and only weakly correlated with educational attainment.

  15. Borging — a Dutch term for the durable institutional anchoring of an intervention, ensuring it survives the departure of its initiator and changes of political wind. There is no exact English equivalent: embedding, anchoring, securing and institutionalisation each capture a partial meaning. Borging is the load-bearing concept in Jacob Huibers’s interim-management practice and in the forthcoming book The Direction of the Movement. Retained in italics in this translation.

  16. The Direction of the Movement — provisional English title of De Richting van de Beweging: Interim-Management in de Publieke Sector (manuscript in preparation).

  17. Doorwerking — translated in this series as Reverberations, the lived consequence of administrative action on the private lives of citizens. The eight Series II papers use this term as title concept; it is retained untranslated where it functions as proper name of the series.

  18. Doorwerking (and its plural doorwerkingen) — see 17. 2